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Market Views - Economic Outlook 2015

Outlook 2015

International

The International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and others have lowered their forecasts for global growth in 2015. Much of the fear stems from slower growth in China, Japan’s surprisingly weak economy, and the negative impact of sanctions on Russia. Each of these has the potential to disrupt the global economy in ways greater than the current consensus believes.

However, we note the rising use of technology offers real opportunities in some economies that are tech proficient, innovative, and business friendly. In addition, the 2014 election of pro-business leaders with new ideas in India and Indonesia may lead to a wave of growth in Asia. This will partially offset weakness in China and Japan.

We believe nations which import commodities will continue to benefit from low oil and mineral prices, favoring economies such as Turkey and India.
Positives Negatives
Positive Pro-business governments favorable for India and Indonesia Negative Russian sanctions may put Russia in recession
Positive Norway, Finland and Singapore have Technology Advantage Negative Russia’s Cold War militarism is a threat to Europe’s economies
Positive Ebola vaccine may lead to rally in African markets Negative Japan’s quadrillion yen debt risks economic meltdown
Positive Taiwan, Turkey and Canada show good strength Negative Civil unrest a rising threat in China
Download The Long-term Economic Report (.PDF)   PDF


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You should carefully consider the investment objectives, potential risks, management fees, and charges and expenses of the Fund before investing. The Fund's prospectus contains this and other information about the Fund, and should be read carefully before investing. You may obtain a current copy of the Fund's prospectus by calling 1-800-995-2637 or click here to view or download a prospectus online.

Mid, Small and Micro Cap investing involve greater risk not associated with investing in more established companies, such as greater price volatility, business risk, less liquidity and increased competitive threat. Fund holdings and sector weightings are subject to change without notice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
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