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Market Views - Economic Outlook 2017

Outlook 2017


Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth over the last ten years has been among the lowest in our nation’s history. However, recent upsurges in consumer and business expectations could prove beneficial.

While hope is rising, concerns remain on when and what will get done in Washington. Campaign promises have included lowering corporate tax rates and eliminating two federal regulations for every new one passed. Proposed infrastructure spending is for $1 trillion over the next ten years. Too often campaign promises are delayed, watered down or abandoned.

Among the challenges for the economy are the ending of the lax monetary policy era. Further, rising inflation could eventually prove problematic. While unlikely, a trade war would put pressure on U.S. and worldwide GDP growth. Overall, we believe economic activity should improve over 2016.

Positives Negatives
Positive Rising spending on big ticket items Negative More active Federal Reserve
Positive Potential for lower taxes and regulations Negative Stronger dollar
Positive Upsurge in consumer expectations Negative Uncertain tax and spending policies
Positive Recession tripwires are benign
Download The Long-term Economic Report (.PDF)   PDF

The views and opinions expressed are those of James Investment Research, Inc.

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

The James Advantage Funds are distributed by ALPS Distributors, Inc. 1290 Broadway, Ste. 1100, Denver, CO 80203 (Member FINRA). ALPS is not affiliated with James Investment Research, Inc.

S&P 500 refers to the Standard and Poor’s 500® Index with dividends reinvested. It generally represents the aggregate price changes in the largest 500 publicly traded companies. One cannot invest directly in an index.

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Economic Outlook


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Mid, Small and Micro Cap investing involve greater risk not associated with investing in more established companies, such as greater price volatility, business risk, less liquidity and increased competitive threat. Fund holdings and sector weightings are subject to change without notice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
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Distributed by ALPS Distributors, Inc. 1290 Broadway, Ste 1100, Denver, CO 80203 (Member FINRA)