Economy
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth over the last ten years has been among the lowest in our nation’s history. However, recent upsurges in consumer and business expectations could prove beneficial.
While hope is rising, concerns remain on when and what will get done in Washington. Campaign promises have included lowering corporate tax rates and eliminating two federal regulations for every new one passed. Proposed infrastructure spending is for $1 trillion over the next ten years. Too often campaign promises are delayed, watered down or abandoned.
Among the challenges for the economy are the ending of the lax monetary policy era. Further, rising inflation could eventually prove problematic. While unlikely, a trade war would put pressure on U.S. and worldwide GDP growth. Overall, we believe economic activity should improve over 2016.
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Positives |
Negatives |
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Rising spending on big ticket items |
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More active Federal Reserve |
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Potential for lower taxes and regulations |
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Stronger dollar |
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Upsurge in consumer expectations |
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Uncertain tax and spending policies |
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Recession tripwires are benign |
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The views and opinions expressed are those of James Investment Research, Inc.
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Investing involves risks, including loss of principal.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
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S&P 500 refers to the Standard and Poor’s 500® Index with dividends reinvested. It generally represents the aggregate price changes in the largest 500 publicly traded companies. One cannot invest directly in an index.
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Economic Outlook
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- Forecast for Economy, Bonds, Stocks and International
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